Latest News:  
Beijing   Sunny    34 / 22 ℃  City Forecast

Home>>Opinion

War in Syria: Gamble for US

(China.org.cn)

16:39, October 27, 2011

Edited and Translated by People's Daily Online

The U.S. State Department recently withdrew its ambassador in Syria Robert Ford because of serious concerns about his personal safety.

It seems that the recent changes of situations are proving that Syria will be the next Libya. Since Qaddafi was killed, the contradictions between the Untied States and Syria have been intensifying. Both countries have withdrawn their ambassadors. As the U.S. ambassador in Syria was being withdrawn, the severity of United Sates' accusations against Syria is also escalating. John McCain, a senator of the Republican Party of the United States, said that Syria is a focal point of the United States' attention and the military operation is an option for the United States.

According to the current situations faced by Syria, including the sanctions and intimidations from the United States, United Kingdom, France and other countries and the prepared Syrian rebels, it seems that Bashar al-Assad will be the next Qaddafi.

Though it may not have the same natural resources as Libya, Syria is important for its strategic geographic position. If the West launches a war in Syria, it probably will have to pay a price that is much higher than the price it had paid for the Libyan War. The war probably will even turn into a blasting fuse and lead the entire Middle East to an irremediable chaos. Therefore, it is a gamble for the West to launch a war in Syria, and it is uncertain that whether the West will win or not.

Some media agencies and experts said that the losses were greater than gains in the Libya war. Particularly, the serious injury and death of the long-term mighty leader Muammar Qaddafi have enabled some countries to see through many things. Syrian President Bashar Assad has perhaps been very impressed with Qaddafi’s suffering just before and after his death. The miserable end of Qaddafi will only make Assad tougher.

The death tolls in the Libya war have reached at least 30,000. If a war takes place in Syria, Assad, who is clearly aware of the consequences of failure, will perhaps take lessons from Qaddafi and try all means to fight the opposition. Such a mindset would likely result in a higher number of deaths and injuries related to the Syria war.

Syria has a far stronger military than Libya. Syria's military is the strongest in the Arab world. If Assad resolves to fight to the end, the Syria war will be crueler than the Libya war, with more deaths and a longer duration.

At the same time, al-Assad may make the desperate move of attacking Israel. According to a report by the Israel-based Jerusalem Post in July, the Israeli intelligence agency found that the Syrian military were conducting unusual troop movements in the border areas and might launch long-range ballistic missiles toward Israel. Israel said that Syria might want to distract domestic and international attention by fighting a war with Israel.

Therefore, if Western powers launch a war against Syria, al-Assad may fire missiles into Israel, which will plunge the entire Middle East into even greater chaos. Not long ago, al-Assad said during a meeting with the Turkish foreign minister that he would shower Israel with missiles if NATO or the United States attacked Syria.

If a war in Syria occurs, blood, violence, and chaos will again become key buzzwords in the Middle East and North Africa. Under current circumstances, a Syrian war would cost Western powers dearly, and it would be an unwise move and a risky gamble to launch such a war.

Email|Print|Comments(Editor:姚春)

Leave your comment21 comments

  1. Name

Roger Charlesworth at 2012-06-15116.27.23.*
It is high time that the US and its allies aligned themselves with the reality of their national debts. It seems they are simply distracting their countries attention with these dangerous war games.
concerned american at 2012-02-0998.25.214.*
China must persuade the zionist puppet, Obama, from an attack on Syria. Only China and Russia can prevent the mad dog black man from starting a horrible war.
YurHUifSKIqmvjEoRe at 2011-11-0960.32.209.*
Good report, please keep going on.
Max at 2011-10-31175.140.147.*
Any attempt by Basahr Al-Assad to attack Israel would be its undoing. All this threat by bashar is only so much empty smoke and thunder. So what if Basahar lob a few missiles at Israel? You think Israel is that stupid? They would probably make a calculated response and invade Syria if it is necessary but certainly they will have done their calculations. Saddam Hussein lob missile at Israel and Saudi Arabia. What did that create? A world war? A Nuclear war sucking in all the Middle Eastern countries? Not really. With the U.S. as the dominant power in the region, no such thing occured. So this overbloated threat or prohecy if Syria attacks Israel and causes a major conflagaration in the Middle East is so much bluff only - an over-exaggerated and overbloated bluff and threat that will most unlikely eventuate. The real powers on this planet are the powers on the UN Security Council. So get real and have your feet firmly on the ground and not be scared silly by blusters and flusters and B-S from mad and men and psycopathic murderous maniacs like Bashar Al-Assad.
paul pawlowski at 2011-10-3191.194.221.*
Firstthey must recover Full Spectrum NEWS Dominance over FrontagesecondNumber 10 jewATOM BOMB WESTMINSTERthen they be ready to Nuke Syria in REVENGEmake Hell on Earthpaul pawlowski Keeper271 days to Flower on 3 stones HOLOCAUST Altar on Frontage for ApolloLondon Holy Paean in Prasise of Apollo
  

Selections for you


  1. SCO member states hold "Peace Mission 2012" drill in Tajikistan

  2. Shenzhou IX concludes rescue drill before liftoff

  3. China considers ways of reducing emissions

  4. Master craft workers make mini-kites in E China

Most Popular

Opinions

  1. Why China's export growth rebounds robustly
  2. Don’t hate the trader, hate the securities game
  3. Master intl rules to solve trade disputes
  4. Investment banks ready to stand on own two feet
  5. China unlikely to undergo local govt debt crisis
  6. Plan to buy Diaoyu Islands a political farce
  7. Beijing Summit features five new aspects
  8. China’s courier industry primed for an overhaul
  9. Why China, US argue over PM2.5 data
  10. People's Daily Commentaries

What's happening in China

Sports meeting held to greet Father's Day in E China

  1. China to open service sector wider
  2. Banking authorities deny looser home lending
  3. Overseas gloom affects local stock markets
  4. 5.4-magnitude quake hits Xinjiang, China: CENC
  5. Officials suspended in China forced abortion case

China Features

  1. Left-behind kids have 'dream house'
  2. China's Olympic history: The road to success
  3. Eight systems of Shenzhou-9 manned spacecraft
  4. The thousand-year-old Tibetan paper
  5. Beijing Summit features five new aspects

PD Online Data

  1. Spring Festival
  2. Chinese ethnic odyssey
  3. Yangge in Shaanxi
  4. Gaoqiao in Northern China
  5. The drum dance in Ansai